A collaboration between Iris ID and IBM recently brought iris recognition biometrics to the Canada US border crossing via the Canadian Border Services Agency’s NEXUS program. The Iris ID Radio podcast interviewed two Canadian travelers familiar with the process—including FindBiometrics president Peter O’Neill—to provide an end user perspective on the experience of border crossings enhanced with biometric self serve kiosks.
The podcast is a helpful insight into the enrollment, screening, and in-airport biometric experiences on both sides of the border. Acuity Market Intelligence principal analyst Maxine Most is also on hand to give insight into how iris biometrics will likely evolve to make our airport experience even more convenient while keeping borders safe, and O’Neill also offers insight into the global border control market.
Acuity released its latest forecasts for the global market for National Electronic ID (eID)market and it appears the market has stabilized. Global programs revenues will exceed $54 billion between 2016 to 2021 averaging about $8.8 billion annually. During the forecast period, Asia will account for more than 60% of all cards issued as the number of countries issuing National eID cards increases from 124 to 136.
Acuity projects that from 2016 to 2021, 3.2 billion chip-based National eIDs will be issued by 103 countries while 485 million National ID cards will be issued by 33 countries that integrate biometrics into non-chip based card programs.
Just as adoption of chip-based ePassports created a global platform that has driven worldwide adoption of Automated Border Control eGates and Kiosks, growth of chip-based National eID programs is creating a foundation for national, regional, and ultimately global trusted authentication infrastructures that will drive expansion of eGovernment services and integration of commercial services like banking and payments.
As the market stabilizes — though outside the forecast period, Acuity believes 2025 will be the “peak year” for National eIDs and all chip-based cards — the longer-term evolution of National eIDs will be an evolution towards mobility. Physical credentials will tie way to digital credentials stored in smartphones and other mobile devices, transforming the way identity is established, referenced, and used every day across the globe.
Get all the details in “The Global National eID Industry Report: 2017 Edition”. The report includes 200+ charts and tables and provides comprehensive, detailed regional, and global analysis and unit and revenue forecasts for all National eID cards programs. A free preview is available.
If you are interested in details for all global National eID Programs by country, preview the “Global National eID Program Update”. This report, presented in spreadsheet format, provides detailed unit and revenue forecasts for each country National eID program from 2013 to 2020.
Acuity Market Intelligence’s latest research finds that 87 smartphone vendors introduced 346 biometric smartphones in the past year. This brings the total number introduced since 2013 to 559, more than double the 200 models Acuity reported a year ago and a ten-fold increase in two years. The proliferation of biometric smartphones is extraordinary. This unprecedented growth supports Acuity’s assertion that within two years, biometrics will be as ubiquitous on smartphones as high resolution cameras are today.
Acuity analysis indicates nearly one billion biometric smartphones are currently in use representing 40% of the global smartphone market. Acuity expects this to grow to 100% of the two billion smartphones shipped annually within two years reaching 100% installed base penetration by 2022.
During 2014, 28 biometric smartphone vendors, most with single offerings, defined the market. Today, of the 87 vendors offering biometric smartphones, more than 30 offer at least six models and market leaders ZTE, Huawei, Lenovo, Samsung and Xiaomi have each introduced at least 20 models. At 7% model share, ZTE is in the top spot, followed by Huawei at 6.2%, and Lenovo, Xiaomi, and Coolpad each at about 4%. Samsung falls just below this threshold offering 3.4% of the biometric smartphone models. Another 22 vendors each offer at least 1% of the total number of models with the remaining 59 vendors collectively offering 35% of currently available biometric smartphone models
Though Android is the principal operating system powering 97% of all biometric smartphone models, Apple remains the dominant player capturing 45%-unit market share of the nearly one billion biometric smartphones in use today with just a handful of iPhone models.
In addition, biometric smartphone prices have dropped dramatically. The quarterly average price of a biometric smartphone decreased from $849 in Q1 2013 to $276 in Q4 2016. There are now 120 sub-$150 models on the market at an average price of $116, up from just 28 a year ago at an average price of $127
Acuity believes biometric smartphone growth will continue as mobile application security, particularly for financial services, requires biometric authentication, low-cost sensors drive down the cost of biometric integration, and consumers demand an end to password and pin based security.
Meanwhile, the Indian Government recently called on domestic handset manufactures to develop $30 smartphones. Integrating biometrics into smartphones at this price point would not only transform the Indian market of one billion, but would pave the way for mass replacement of traditional handsets across Asia, Africa, and the rest of the developing economies creating a globally available, universal biometric authentication platform.
Given these powerful market forces, Acuity is confident the market will achieve the 100% biometric smartphone penetration originally forecast for the end of 2018 in Acuity’s “Global Biometrics and Mobility Report.
Details available in the “Biometric Smartphone Update” spreadsheet which provides detailed information on every biometrics smartphone on the market including brand, model, biometric mode, sensor, OS, price, availability, and links to detailed specifications and reviews. Preview at www.acuity-mi.com/BSP.php.
“The Global Biometrics and Mobility Report” provides unit and revenue forecasts for biometric smartphones, tablets, and wearables, and biometric apps and payment. Preview at www.acuity-mi.com/GBMR_Report.php .
More than 3500 Automated Border Control eGates and Kiosks Now Deployed Representing 37% CAGR in Three Years
On-going concerns about national security are driving border authorities to continue to embrace biometric and digital identification based automation. The recently updated “ABC eGate Deployment List” and “APC Kiosk Deployment List” indicate there are 2143 Automated Border Control (ABC) eGates and 1436 Automated Passport Control (APC) Kiosks currently deployed at more than 163 ports of entry across the globe. Deployments increased significantly between 2013 to 2016 achieving a combined CAGR of 37%. APC Kiosks reached 75% growth during this period while ABC eGates grew at a more modest 24% CAGR.
As the Trump administration doubles down on immigration restrictions and promises of “extreme vetting,” the reality is that biometrics are used to scrutinize millions of international travelers across the globe every day. Digital Identification technology, including biometrics, continue to allow immigration and border agencies to reliably vet visitors, immigrants, and refugees and automate border identification and control providing secure facilitation at ports of entry for international travelers worldwide.
APC Kiosk deployments grew rapidly in 2014 and 2015 increasing from 200 to 1247 units.Growth tapered off in 2016, reaching only 1436 units. However, Acuity expects growth to accelerate again in 2017 and 2018 as APC Kiosks migrate to Europe, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East.
Currently, 2143 ABC eGates operate in 63 countries. Asia is home to 38.5% of all eGates deployed at land, sea and airports worldwide while 34% are deployed in Europe. Acuity expects ABC eGate numbers to continue to grow as existing airport deployments expand, new airport deployments come on-line, and land and seaports increasingly deploy eGates.